Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors: crowd vs house

NBA · Wed Oct 21, 7:40 PM ET · House take 4.5%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.5%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
Chicago Bulls22.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
22.8%
no-vig median
-0.8 pts
Toronto Raptors78.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
77.2%
no-vig median
+0.8 pts

Who's cheaper: Chicago Bulls to win

House no-vig fair: 22.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEDraftKings.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDPolymarket open22.0¢ + 0.86¢ fee22.9¢
+337
spread 1¢, $285 at ask
HOUSEDraftKings+330 (4.30)23.3¢
+330
CROWDKalshi open23¢ + 1.24¢ fee24.2¢
+313
spread 1¢, $6,982 at ask

Who's cheaper: Toronto Raptors to win

House no-vig fair: 77.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
HOUSEFanDuel-370 (1.27)78.7¢
-370
CROWDKalshi open78¢ + 1.20¢ fee79.2¢
-381
spread 1¢, $16,454 at ask
CROWDPolymarket open79.0¢ + 0.83¢ fee79.8¢
-396
spread 1¢, $4,558 at ask

House moneylines

BookBullsRaptorsHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM+320-4174.5%
HOUSEBetRivers+280-3705.1%
HOUSECaesars+320-4174.5%
HOUSEDraftKings+330-4173.9%
HOUSEFanDuel+295-3704.1%
HOUSEFanatics+320-4174.5%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.