New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: crowd vs house

College Football · Wed Oct 21, 8:00 PM ET · House take 4.3%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.3%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
New Mexico State Aggies57.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
57.3%
no-vig median
-0.3 pts
Sam Houston State Bearkats43.0%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
42.7%
no-vig median
+0.3 pts

Who's cheaper: New Mexico State Aggies to win

House no-vig fair: 57.3%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDKalshi open57¢ + 1.72¢ fee58.7¢
-142
spread 1¢, $183,636 at ask
CROWDPolymarket open58.0¢ + 0.73¢ fee58.7¢
-142
spread 1¢, $705 at ask
HOUSEFanDuel-147 (1.68)59.5¢
-147

Who's cheaper: Sam Houston State Bearkats to win

House no-vig fair: 42.7%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 1.2¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
HOUSEBetRivers+135 (2.35)42.6¢
+135
CROWDPolymarket open43.0¢ + 0.74¢ fee43.7¢
+129
spread 1¢, $443 at ask
CROWDKalshi open44¢ + 1.72¢ fee45.7¢
+119
spread 1¢, $127,350 at ask

House moneylines

BookAggiesBearkatsHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM-149+1254.3%
HOUSEBetRivers-175+1356.2%
HOUSECaesars-147+1254.0%
HOUSEDraftKings-147+1244.2%
HOUSEFanDuel-147+1224.6%
HOUSEFanatics-149+1254.3%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.