Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET · House take 4.2%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.2%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon Ducks | 75.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 74.9% no-vig median | +0.6 pts |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 24.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 25.1% no-vig median | -0.6 pts |
Who's cheaper: Oregon Ducks to win
House no-vig fair: 74.9%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.7¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 76.0¢ + 0.55¢ fee | 76.5¢ -326 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 76¢ + 1.28¢ fee | 77.3¢ -340 |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -345 (1.29) | 77.5¢ -345 |
Who's cheaper: Illinois Fighting Illini to win
House no-vig fair: 25.1%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.1¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEFanatics.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 25.0¢ + 0.56¢ fee | 25.6¢ +291 |
| HOUSEFanatics | +290 (3.90) | 25.6¢ +290 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 25¢ + 1.31¢ fee | 26.3¢ +280 |
House moneylines
| Book | Ducks | Illini | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -345 | +280 | 3.8% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | -357 | +270 | 5.2% |
| HOUSECaesars | -357 | +285 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -357 | +285 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -345 | +270 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | -370 | +290 | 4.4% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.