Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET · House take 4.2%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.2%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 16.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 17.7% no-vig median | -0.9 pts |
| Ball State Cardinals | 83.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 82.3% no-vig median | +0.9 pts |
Who's cheaper: Sacramento State Hornets to win
House no-vig fair: 17.7%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.2¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEBetMGM.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 17¢ + 0.99¢ fee | 18.0¢ +456 |
| HOUSEBetMGM | +450 (5.50) | 18.2¢ +450 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 18.0¢ + 0.44¢ fee | 18.4¢ +442 |
Who's cheaper: Ball State Cardinals to win
House no-vig fair: 82.3%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 84.0¢ + 0.40¢ fee | 84.4¢ -541 |
| HOUSECaesars | -556 (1.18) | 84.7¢ -556 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 84¢ + 0.94¢ fee | 84.9¢ -564 |
House moneylines
| Book | Hornets | Cardinals | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +450 | -588 | 3.7% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +450 | -667 | 5.1% |
| HOUSECaesars | +425 | -556 | 3.8% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +425 | -588 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +450 | -625 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +440 | -588 | 4.0% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.