South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd: crowd vs house
College Football · Tue Oct 20, 7:30 PM ET · House take 4.1%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.1%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 58.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 58.2% no-vig median | +0.3 pts |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 41.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 41.8% no-vig median | -0.3 pts |
Who's cheaper: South Alabama Jaguars to win
House no-vig fair: 58.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 59.0¢ + 0.73¢ fee | 59.7¢ -148 |
| HOUSECaesars | -152 (1.66) | 60.2¢ -152 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 59¢ + 1.69¢ fee | 60.7¢ -154 |
Who's cheaper: Marshall Thundering Herd to win
House no-vig fair: 41.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 1.1¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +140 (2.40) | 41.7¢ +140 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 42.0¢ + 0.73¢ fee | 42.7¢ +134 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 42¢ + 1.71¢ fee | 43.7¢ +129 |
House moneylines
| Book | Jaguars | Herd | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -154 | +130 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | -179 | +140 | 5.8% |
| HOUSECaesars | -152 | +129 | 3.9% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -161 | +136 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -154 | +128 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | -154 | +130 | 4.1% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.