Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals: crowd vs house
NFL · Sun Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · House take 4.5%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.5%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 66.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 66.6% no-vig median | +0.2 pts |
| Arizona Cardinals | 33.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 33.4% no-vig median | -0.2 pts |
Who's cheaper: Denver Broncos to win
House no-vig fair: 66.6%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.1¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 67¢ + 1.55¢ fee | 68.5¢ -218 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 68.0¢ + 0.65¢ fee | 68.7¢ -219 |
| HOUSEFanatics | -222 (1.45) | 69.0¢ -222 |
Who's cheaper: Arizona Cardinals to win
House no-vig fair: 33.4%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEDraftKings by 0.2¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEDraftKings | +190 (2.90) | 34.5¢ +190 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 34.0¢ + 0.67¢ fee | 34.7¢ +188 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 34¢ + 1.57¢ fee | 35.6¢ +181 |
House moneylines
| Book | Broncos | Cardinals | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -227 | +185 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | -233 | +185 | 5.0% |
| HOUSECaesars | -227 | +186 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -233 | +190 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -233 | +190 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEFanatics | -222 | +180 | 4.7% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.