Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings: crowd vs house
NFL · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · House take 4.5%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.5%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 29.5% Kalshi mid | 29.9% no-vig median | -0.4 pts |
| Minnesota Vikings | 71.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 70.1% no-vig median | +0.9 pts |
Who's cheaper: Indianapolis Colts to win
House no-vig fair: 29.9%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEDraftKings by 0.7¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 29.0¢ + 0.62¢ fee | 29.6¢ +238 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +225 (3.25) | 30.8¢ +225 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 30¢ + 1.47¢ fee | 31.5¢ +218 |
Who's cheaper: Minnesota Vikings to win
House no-vig fair: 70.1%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 71¢ + 1.44¢ fee | 72.4¢ -263 |
| HOUSECaesars | -263 (1.38) | 72.5¢ -263 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 72.0¢ + 0.60¢ fee | 72.6¢ -265 |
House moneylines
| Book | Colts | Vikings | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +220 | -278 | 4.8% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +210 | -263 | 4.7% |
| HOUSECaesars | +215 | -263 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +225 | -278 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +220 | -270 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +220 | -278 | 4.8% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.