Detroit Red Wings vs Seattle Kraken: crowd vs house

NHL · Tue Oct 20, 9:50 PM ET · House take 4.8%

Crowd vs House split

House take (median book margin): 4.8%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.

SideCROWDHOUSE fairSplit
Detroit Red Wings48.5%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
49.0%
no-vig median
-0.5 pts
Seattle Kraken51.5%
Polymarket + Kalshi mid
51.0%
no-vig median
+0.5 pts

Who's cheaper: Detroit Red Wings to win

House no-vig fair: 49.0%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
CROWDPolymarket open49.0¢ + 1.25¢ fee50.2¢
-101
spread 1¢, $1,651 at ask
HOUSECaesars-102 (1.98)50.5¢
-102
CROWDKalshi open49¢ + 1.75¢ fee50.7¢
-103
spread 1¢, $48 at ask

Who's cheaper: Seattle Kraken to win

House no-vig fair: 51.0%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 1.4¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.

VenueQuotedAll-in cost / $1Notes
HOUSEBetRivers-108 (1.93)51.8¢
-108
CROWDPolymarket open52.0¢ + 1.25¢ fee53.2¢
-114
spread 1¢, $11,754 at ask
CROWDKalshi open52¢ + 1.75¢ fee53.7¢
-116
spread 1¢, $16,181 at ask

House moneylines

BookWingsKrakenHouse take
HOUSEBetMGM-105-1154.8%
HOUSEBetRivers-110-1084.2%
HOUSECaesars-102-1184.6%
HOUSEDraftKings-105-1154.8%
HOUSEFanDuel-105-1154.8%
HOUSEFanatics-105-1154.8%

All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.

Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.