Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres: crowd vs house
NHL · Wed Oct 21, 7:40 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 36.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 37.4% no-vig median | -0.6 pts |
| Buffalo Sabres | 63.3% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 62.6% no-vig median | +0.6 pts |
Who's cheaper: Philadelphia Flyers to win
House no-vig fair: 37.4%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEDraftKings.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 37.0¢ + 1.17¢ fee | 38.2¢ +162 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +160 (2.60) | 38.5¢ +160 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 38¢ + 1.65¢ fee | 39.6¢ +152 |
Who's cheaper: Buffalo Sabres to win
House no-vig fair: 62.6%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.2¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 64.0¢ + 1.15¢ fee | 65.2¢ -187 |
| HOUSECaesars | -189 (1.53) | 65.4¢ -189 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 64¢ + 1.61¢ fee | 65.6¢ -191 |
House moneylines
| Book | Flyers | Sabres | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +155 | -189 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +160 | -189 | 3.8% |
| HOUSECaesars | +158 | -189 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +160 | -192 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +155 | -189 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +155 | -189 | 4.6% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:01 PM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.